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Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches

The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.

Engine evidence checked .

This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-08-09T05:35:13.797Z. It is regenerated because prices and evidence move.

Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton — Ben Shelton: model 62%, recorded odds 1.85, edge 9%. Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic — Belinda Bencic: model 56%, recorded odds 1.95, edge 3%.

Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Daniel Merida Aguilar: model 50%, recorded odds 2.12, edge 3%. Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils — Rafael Jodar: model 55%, recorded odds 1.95, edge 2%.

Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury — Washington Mystics: model 55%, recorded odds 1.83, edge 2%. Seattle Storm vs Chicago Sky — Seattle Storm: model 54%, recorded odds 1.80, edge 1%.

Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.

Sources

OddsPadi public prediction ledgerChecked 2026-08-09OddsPadi current predictionsChecked 2026-08-09Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton — match pageChecked 2026-08-09Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic — match pageChecked 2026-08-09Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — match pageChecked 2026-08-09Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury — match pageChecked 2026-08-09Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils — match pageChecked 2026-08-09Seattle Storm vs Chicago Sky — match pageChecked 2026-08-09
Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches | OddsPadi