Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches
The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.
Engine evidence checked .
This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-08-08T23:35:14.361Z. It is regenerated because prices and evidence move.
Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton — Ben Shelton: model 62%, recorded odds 1.84, edge 9%. Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Daniel Merida Aguilar: model 51%, recorded odds 2.20, edge 4%. Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie — Arthur Fils: model 73%, recorded odds 1.43, edge 4%.
Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury — Washington Mystics: model 55%, recorded odds 1.88, edge 2%. Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm — Portland Fire: model 51%, recorded odds 2.00, edge 2%. Alexandra Eala vs Belinda Bencic — Belinda Bencic: model 55%, recorded odds 1.91, edge 2%.
Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.