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Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches

The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.

Engine evidence checked .

This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-08-07T23:35:17.767Z and is regenerated because prices and evidence move. Think of it as a snapshot that can change as markets and information shift.

Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul — Tommy Paul: model 72%, recorded odds 1.62, edge 11%.

Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Daniel Merida Aguilar: model 50%, recorded odds 2.16, edge 6%. Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie — Arthur Fils: model 72%, recorded odds 1.42, edge 2%.

Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries — Dallas Wings: model 53%, recorded odds 1.89, edge 2%. Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm — Portland Fire: model 56%, recorded odds 1.85, edge 1%. Wehen Wiesbaden vs SC Preußen Münster — Wehen Wiesbaden: model 38%, recorded odds 2.65, edge 1%.

Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.

Sources

OddsPadi public prediction ledgerChecked 2026-08-07OddsPadi current predictionsChecked 2026-08-07Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul — match pageChecked 2026-08-07Tallon Griekspoor vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — match pageChecked 2026-08-07Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie — match pageChecked 2026-08-07Dallas Wings vs Golden State Valkyries — match pageChecked 2026-08-07Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm — match pageChecked 2026-08-07Wehen Wiesbaden vs SC Preußen Münster — match pageChecked 2026-08-07