Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches
The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.
Engine evidence checked .
This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-08-07T11:35:13.487Z. It is regenerated because prices and evidence move.
Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca — Casper Ruud: model 55%, recorded odds 2.26, edge 11%. Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul — Tommy Paul: model 70%, recorded odds 1.59, edge 7%.
Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz — Hubert Hurkacz: model 71%, recorded odds 1.53, edge 5%. Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensik — Jakub Mensik: model 71%, recorded odds 1.49, edge 4%.
Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton — Ben Shelton: model 75%, recorded odds 1.36, edge 3%. Arthur Fils vs Cameron Norrie — Arthur Fils: model 71%, recorded odds 1.42, edge 3%.
Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.