Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches
The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.
Engine evidence checked .
This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-08-06T05:35:09.340Z and has been regenerated because prices and evidence move — treat it as a snapshot, not a guarantee.
Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca — Casper Ruud: model 65%, recorded odds 2.25, edge 23%.
Caty McNally vs Alexandra Eala — Caty McNally: model 51%, recorded odds 3.00, edge 20%.
Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur — Alex de Minaur: model 84%, recorded odds 1.50, edge 19%. Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech — Frances Tiafoe: model 80%, recorded odds 1.46, edge 14%.
Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Blockx — Jiri Lehecka: model 75%, recorded odds 1.56, edge 10%. Zizou Bergs vs Ben Shelton — Ben Shelton: model 81%, recorded odds 1.35, edge 6%. Positive edge is not a promise of a win, and OddsPadi will publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.