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Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches

The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.

Engine evidence checked .

This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-08-02T23:35:21.254Z. It is regenerated because prices and evidence move.

A. Barrena vs T. Skatov — A. Barrena: model 51%, recorded odds 2.50, edge 12%.

M. Damm vs S. Tsitsipas — S. Tsitsipas: model 74%, recorded odds 1.53, edge 10%.

J. McCabe vs D. Lajovic — D. Lajovic: model 65%, recorded odds 1.73, edge 9%.

T. Berkieta vs F. Mena — F. Mena: model 52%, recorded odds 2.22, edge 7%.

S. Baez vs M. Bellucci — S. Baez: model 60%, recorded odds 1.85, edge 7%.

E. Kirkin vs O. Paldanius — E. Kirkin: model 51%, recorded odds 2.07, edge 7%.

Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.

Sources

OddsPadi public prediction ledgerChecked 2026-08-02OddsPadi current predictionsChecked 2026-08-02A. Barrena vs T. Skatov — match pageChecked 2026-08-02M. Damm vs S. Tsitsipas — match pageChecked 2026-08-02J. McCabe vs D. Lajovic — match pageChecked 2026-08-02T. Berkieta vs F. Mena — match pageChecked 2026-08-02S. Baez vs M. Bellucci — match pageChecked 2026-08-02E. Kirkin vs O. Paldanius — match pageChecked 2026-08-02
Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches | OddsPadi