Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches
The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.
Engine evidence checked .
This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-08-01T05:36:28.089Z.
I regenerate the list when prices or evidence move, so this is a snapshot rather than a permanent claim.
A. Popyrin vs T. Kokkinakis — A. Popyrin: model 63%, recorded odds 2.35, edge 24%. J. Choinski vs F. A. Gomez — F. A. Gomez: model 51%, recorded odds 3.15, edge 23%. J. Faria vs C. O'Connell — C. O'Connell: model 56%, recorded odds 2.62, edge 22%.
P. Carreno-Busta vs V. Royer — V. Royer: model 55%, recorded odds 2.75, edge 21%. A. Shevchenko vs K. Jacquet — A. Shevchenko: model 65%, recorded odds 2.10, edge 21%. S. Baez vs M. Bellucci — S. Baez: model 68%, recorded odds 2.00, edge 21%.
Positive edge is not a promise of a win, and OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.