Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches
The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.
Engine evidence checked .
This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-07-31T05:35:45.086Z and is regenerated because prices and evidence move. Think of it as a snapshot of where our model sees value right now, not a promise of outcomes.
J. P. Varillas vs T. Skatov — J. P. Varillas: model 54%, recorded odds 2.49, edge 20%. J. Mackenzie vs J. Rodionov — J. Mackenzie: model 52%, recorded odds 3.04, edge 18%. A. De Minaur vs B. Nakashima — A. De Minaur: model 74%, recorded odds 1.50, edge 12%.
M. Krumich vs S. Nagal — M. Krumich: model 57%, recorded odds 2.02, edge 11%. A. Arystanbekova vs D. Zelinskaya — A. Arystanbekova: model 50%, recorded odds 2.47, edge 9%. I. Vasa vs J. Hallquist Lithen — I. Vasa: model 50%, recorded odds 2.07, edge 7%.
Positive edge is not a promise of a win, and confidence is kept separate from certainty. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.