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Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches

The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.

Engine evidence checked .

This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-07-30T05:37:39.170Z. It is regenerated because prices and evidence move.

T. Papamalamis vs N. Karma — N. Karma: model 50%, recorded odds 4.14, edge 28%. I. Sagmar vs E. Meri — I. Sagmar: model 39%, recorded odds 6.70, edge 26%. M. Pizzigoni vs T. Pereira — M. Pizzigoni: model 29%, recorded odds 14.61, edge 23%.

A. V. Mediorreal vs D. Egorova — A. V. Mediorreal: model 30%, recorded odds 12.00, edge 22%. R. Da Costa vs K. Saitoh — R. Da Costa: model 36%, recorded odds 6.10, edge 21%. I. Barrera Aguirre vs C. Alves — I. Barrera Aguirre: model 31%, recorded odds 8.50, edge 20%.

Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.

Sources

OddsPadi public prediction ledgerChecked 2026-07-30OddsPadi current predictionsChecked 2026-07-30