Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches
The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.
Engine evidence checked .
This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-07-28T23:35:57.436Z and is regenerated because prices and evidence move. Think of this as a snapshot of where our model sees value right now, not a guarantee of outcomes.
B. Fitzpatrick vs L. Marionneau — B. Fitzpatrick: model 59%, recorded odds 15.00, edge 52%. N. Hanatani vs K. Tsygourova — N. Hanatani: model 57%, recorded odds 13.00, edge 50%. C. Rolland de Ravel vs T. Hohmann — T. Hohmann: model 57%, recorded odds 12.00, edge 49%.
A. Niyetkaliyev vs S. Mitsui — A. Niyetkaliyev: model 53%, recorded odds 15.00, edge 46%. N. Hipfl vs M. Liszka — M. Liszka: model 50%, recorded odds 15.00, edge 44%. R. Takahata vs K. Samrej — R. Takahata: model 58%, recorded odds 6.26, edge 44%.
Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.