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Value watch: 6 positive-edge matches

The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.

Engine evidence checked .

This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-07-27T23:36:06.995Z. It is regenerated because prices and evidence move.

M. Giron vs C. Hewitt — C. Hewitt: model 67%, recorded odds 9.56, edge 56%.

O. Jasika vs D. Pham — D. Pham: model 72%, recorded odds 3.35, edge 45%.

T. Svajda vs J. Mensik — T. Svajda: model 68%, recorded odds 4.11, edge 44%.

F. Diaz Acosta vs T. Compagnucci — T. Compagnucci: model 60%, recorded odds 5.35, edge 43%.

W. Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs P. Brunclik — W. Rejchtman Vinciguerra: model 60%, recorded odds 5.16, edge 43%.

S. Hazawa vs C. Kose — C. Kose: model 53%, recorded odds 6.00, edge 38%.

Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.

Sources

OddsPadi public prediction ledgerChecked 2026-07-27OddsPadi current predictionsChecked 2026-07-27