Value watch: 3 positive-edge matches
The strongest currently stored model-versus-price edges, with confidence kept separate from certainty.
Engine evidence checked .
This watchlist reflects stored prices and probabilities at 2026-07-17T11:36:03.431Z. It is regenerated because prices and evidence move.
Bahia vs Chapecoense — Chapecoense: model 21%, recorded odds 5.81, edge 5%.
Mirassol vs Grêmio — Over 2.5: model 48%, recorded odds 2.20, edge 2%.
Fluminense vs Bragantino-SP — Over 2.5: model 49%, recorded odds 2.12, edge 2%.
Positive edge is not a promise of a win. OddsPadi can publish fewer or no value picks when the evidence gate is not met.