Model vs market: biggest stored disagreements
Where upcoming stored model probabilities differ most from the raw implied bookmaker price—and why disagreement alone is not a bet.
Engine evidence checked .
This comparison uses the latest stored rows available at 2026-08-01T05:36:28.089Z. Raw implied probabilities are calculated as one divided by decimal odds and do not remove bookmaker margin.
A. Walton vs J. Boulais — A. Walton: model 58%, raw market 91%, gap -33%. Scheduled 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z. W. Leite vs M. Alves — M. Alves: model 64%, raw market 93%, gap -30%. Scheduled 2026-08-01T17:30:00.000Z.
H. Gaston vs D. Chan — H. Gaston: model 53%, raw market 80%, gap -27%. Scheduled 2026-08-01T19:30:00.000Z. P. Kudermetova vs A. Alexander — P. Kudermetova: model 72%, raw market 97%, gap -25%. Scheduled 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z. V. Bosio vs D. Egorova — D. Egorova: model 58%, raw market 83%, gap -25%. Scheduled 2026-08-01T15:00:00.000Z. L. Klimovicova vs R. Saigo — L. Klimovicova: model 60%, raw market 84%, gap -24%. Scheduled 2026-08-01T11:30:00.000Z.
These are upcoming stored fixtures, not necessarily today's matches. A large disagreement can reflect missing data or model uncertainty, so the normal value and confidence gates still apply.