Model vs market: biggest stored disagreements
Where upcoming stored model probabilities differ most from the raw implied bookmaker price—and why disagreement alone is not a bet.
Engine evidence checked .
This comparison uses the latest stored rows available at 2026-07-25T23:36:21.793Z. Raw implied probabilities are calculated as one divided by decimal odds and do not remove bookmaker margin.
D. Blanch vs S. Zannoni — S. Zannoni: model 70%, raw market 8%, gap +62%. Scheduled 2026-07-26T10:00:00.000Z. A. Martin vs T. Luxa — T. Luxa: model 70%, raw market 10%, gap +61%. Scheduled 2026-07-26T15:30:00.000Z. M. Poljicak vs E. Baldisserri — E. Baldisserri: model 64%, raw market 8%, gap +56%. Scheduled 2026-07-26T11:30:00.000Z.
T. Monteiro vs A. Bronzetti — A. Bronzetti: model 61%, raw market 10%, gap +51%. Scheduled 2026-07-26T13:00:00.000Z. N. Arakawa vs D. Aiava — N. Arakawa: model 57%, raw market 9%, gap +48%. Scheduled 2026-07-26T04:30:00.000Z. N. Gombos vs S. Hamza Reguig — S. Hamza Reguig: model 60%, raw market 14%, gap +46%. Scheduled 2026-07-26T12:00:00.000Z.
These are upcoming stored fixtures, not necessarily today's matches. A large disagreement can reflect missing data or model uncertainty, so the normal value and confidence gates still apply.