Model vs market: biggest stored disagreements
Where upcoming stored model probabilities differ most from the raw implied bookmaker price—and why disagreement alone is not a bet.
Engine evidence checked .
This comparison uses the latest stored rows available at 2026-07-24T23:36:26.233Z. Raw implied probabilities are calculated as one divided by decimal odds and do not remove bookmaker margin.
M. Schaefbauer vs A. Voloshchuk — M. Schaefbauer: model 55%, raw market 6%, gap +49%. Scheduled 2026-07-25T01:00:00.000Z. M. Dellavedova vs M. Hulme — M. Hulme: model 57%, raw market 26%, gap +31%. Scheduled 2026-07-25T03:00:00.000Z.
L. Tagger vs B. Krejcikova — L. Tagger: model 51%, raw market 21%, gap +30%. Scheduled 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z. D. Markovina vs Ja. Delaney — D. Markovina: model 55%, raw market 25%, gap +30%. Scheduled 2026-07-25T04:30:00.000Z. A. Blockx vs L. Darderi — L. Darderi: model 91%, raw market 64%, gap +27%. Scheduled 2026-07-25T20:00:00.000Z.
P. Vives Marcos vs L. Comino — L. Comino: model 47%, raw market 20%, gap +27%. Scheduled 2026-07-25T11:30:00.000Z. These are upcoming stored fixtures, not necessarily today's matches. A large disagreement can reflect missing data or model uncertainty, so the normal value and confidence gates still apply.